Key Highlights

  • According to Knight Frank, savvy investors putting money into overseas markets
  • Recommendations on global winners, losers and riskiest markets

CNBC’s Robert Frank recently spoke about his 2021 forecast on real estate investing on CNBC’s daily “Squawk Box.”

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Frank pointed to a report just released from Knight Frank with predictions on 2021 post-COVID real estate investing. According to this report, Knight Frank believes that real estate investment’s smart money will be going globally in 2021.

Knight Frank’s winners for 2021 include:

  • Shanghai – +5% due to China’s strong economic growth and the country’s strong COVID response
  • Cape Town – +5%
  • London – +4% due to the country’s “holiday” concerning the Stamp Tax that expires end of March 2021 with approved mortgages at 10-year high and strong overseas demand
  • Auckland – +4% – also, Auckland is strong for remainder of 2020 as it is one of half the large city metros globally that is back to pre-pandemic pricing and levels

Losers for 2021, according to Knight Frank, include:

  • New York – 0% growth
  • Mumbai – 0%
  • Buenos Aires – -8% due to COVID devastation

UBS is forecasting the riskiest and potential real estate bubble markets for 2021 as being:

  • Munich and Frankfurt due to financing costs
  • Toronto
  • Hong Kong

Frank said that prices in Germany have almost doubled in the last decade due to stimulus programs and the cost of financing. Frank said, “Germany is practically paying buyers to buy…” with interest rates at 1%.


Thanks to Knight Frank, UBS and CNBC.

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