Julie Falcon of HousingWire writes that multi-family construction growth during Q2 2019 has, according to RealPage, slowed to its lowest level in nearly four years. Such multi-family construction growth is down on a national level by -5.5% YOY.

Despite only 526,300 units currently being built, that number of “underway” units is still far above normal almost doubling the long-term norm. Additionally building permits for multi-family units dropped to its lowest level in more than two years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Areas experiencing the “slowest” slowdowns in multi-family construction include:

– New York-White Plains            -42.8%

– Columbus OH                         -32,7%

– Anaheim-Santa Ana                -30.5%

– Tampa-St. Petersburg              -28.1%

– San Antonio-Braunfeld TX        -26.5%

– Portland-Vancouver                -23.2%

– Orlando-Kissimmee FL            -23.2%

In terms of apartment supply and supply change, here is what multi-family construction growth looks like nation-wide:

 

Apartment                  Supply

Unit Supply                Change

 

– Dallas-Ft. Worth                 22,196                        -20%

– Seattle                              13,682                        +17%

– New York-Newark               13,418                        -26%

– Miami-Ft. Lauderdale         13.031                        -3%

– Austin-Round Rock            10,783                        +1%

– Atlanta                             10,381                        +8%

– Los Angeles-Long Beach    9,768                          -23%

– Phoenix-Mesa                   9,670                          +18%

– DC-Arlington                    9,271                          -26%

– Houston                          7,143                          -34%

– Chicago                          6,975                          -14%

– Denver-Aurora                6,836                          -49%

– Orlando                           6,143                          +2%

– San Jose-Sunnyvale         6,044                          +283%***

– Charlotte-Concord            6,003                          -2%

Detroit and Riverside CA have, along with San Jose-Sunnyvale, increased apartment supply by triple digits, +292% and +243% respectively. (No data was available concerning unit numbers in either city.)

Meanwhile, multi-family occupancy and originations have surged. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Quarterly Survey of Commercial and Multi-Family Mortgage Bankers Originations, originations for loans on multi-family properties/developments increased a whopping +10% annually in Q2 2019 and an eye-popping +29% from Q1 2019 to Q2 2019. Additionally, dollar valuations for multi-family properties increased +15% in Q2 2019.

Freddie Mac predicted that 2019 multi-family growth would benefit from the housing shortage, strong labor market and low interest rates.

Thanks to Julie Falcon of HousingWire for source data.