Key Highlights

  • CoreLogic Home Price Index indicated home price growth doubled since one month before onset of pandemic
  • Some buyers newly willing and able to pay premium prices

Share of Sales At/Above List Prices Reaches New Highs

Once the COVID-19 pandemic gripped the US in February/March 2020, home price growth has doubled, according to CoreLogic’sHome Price Index.

Historically low mortgage rates have enabled willing homebuyers to actually pay premium prices to “get” the homes they wanted since the pandemic upended the housing market.

Beginning in July 2020, the share of homes sold at or above list price reached and then exceeded the previous peak in June 2004 of homes selling at or above list.  By the time February 2021 rolled around, more than half of homes sold were sold at or above list price.

That share of homes sold at or above list price reached a new high of 51.4% of total sales.  This 51.4% represents nearly triple the share of homes sold at or above list in January 2008 at the height of the housing crisis and more than 10% higher than in March 2020.

Cities with Highest Share of Homes Sold at List Price

Since most every aspect of real estate is local (sales and listing patterns), the share of homes sold at or above list price varies among the metro areas CoreLogic analyzes.

Cities with the largest share of homes selling at or above list price included:

  • Seattle – 73.8%
  • Denver – 71%
  • Washington DC – 67.5%
  • Los Angeles – 60%
  • Phoenix – 59%

Cities with the lowest share of homes selling at or above list price included:

  • Miami – 22%
  • Chicago – 30%
  • Orlando – 32%
  • Houston – 36%
  • Philadelphia – 40%

Thin Supply Translates into Increased Price Pressure

CoreLogic clearly makes the case that low supply leads directly to higher prices.

The tipping point seems to be that when the total supply of houses drops below a three-month supply, home prices increase.  (A six-month market supply has normatively indicated a balanced market…and much fewer at or above list price sales.)

For example, San Jose’s thin supply has resulted in homebuyers there paying an average of +3.8% more than the list price.  Miami, on the other hand, has had a relatively high market supply.  Those Miami homebuyers have been able to negotiate sale prices an average of -6.6% below the list price.


Thanks to CoreLogic.


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